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Hawkish Undertone
The Fed delivered a widely expected 25 bps rate cut, but paired it with unusually cautious guidance: only one cut projected for 2026 and the highest FOMC dissent since 2019. This hawkish undertone dampened risk appetite, and BTC turned lower despite the modest support from the Fed's $40B in T-bill purchases.
Spot ETF inflows into large-cap alts remain steady, but price action hasn't followed. Smart money has accumulated around 42,000 BTC since Dec 1, while retail flows are trimming exposure, and short selling continues to cap upside momentum.
The next key macro date to watch is Dec 18–19, when the BOJ announces its rate decision. A potential volatility may spark if Japan signals a shift in its accomodative monetary policy.
New & Noteworthy
This week's listings don't whisper: they meme, they move, they go full throttle.
• Sentiment may look shaky elsewhere, but not here. Meme+ is still buzzing with fresh entrants like 1YIHE, YEE, and DONUT, each chasing their moment of community-powered momentum. DOYR just made a clean leap into the big boys' league—a reminder that community tokens can move fast when liquidity, attention, and a bit of luck align.
• The USDC fan club is growing: Across DeFi, L1s, and other trending sectors, more assets on MEXC are pairing up with USDC. We're not calling a stablecoin regime change as USDT still dominates the volume, but structurally USDC is catching momentum.
Weekly Events Highlight
• P2P 1-Fiat Offer: Year-end bonuses are landing across regions. In regions where year-end bonuses meet shaky FX rates, a stable USDT buffer can go a long way.
• Festive exclusives are rolling in: From 0-fee Spot trading to regional perks, our holiday lineup is just getting started. Keep an eye out: the good stuff drops fast.
• Final sprint: Ethereum Eco Month & Golden Era Showdown. Both events are closing in on the finish line. ETH, Gold, BTC, volatility, rewards, everything everywhere, all at once. Rewards season isn't slowing down.
Betting on Outcomes or Vibes
Prediction markets are having their moment. Gemini just secured CFTC approval to run a Designated Contract Market, clearing the path for its new platform, Gemini Titan. That opens the door to crypto perps, futures, and more exotic options under a regulated umbrella. At the same time, Kalshi and Polymarket continue to post record growth, pulling increasing attention from traders who want clearer odds and cleaner payoffs.
Meanwhile, on the surface, memecoins seem to be losing steam. Their combined market cap has dropped from more than $100 billion earlier this year to about $46 billion as traders rotate capital into prediction markets or tap out entirely from an increasingly skewed risk–reward setup.
Even so, pump.fun keeps the lights on for the culture. It remains the fourth highest-volume DEX, averaging $3.59 billion in the past week and spiking to $1 billion on December 7. Fee revenue has stayed surprisingly steady for two quarters, which shows the engine is still humming even as the market cools.

It seems that the market is repricing entertainment. Prediction markets offer sharper payout math. Memes offer culture. Traders are bouncing between the two, and wherever attention swings, liquidity follows.
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As always, we'll keep watching the narratives as they form, and see you in the markets.
