1. How to Evaluate Whether a Lead Copy Trader Suits You
Choosing the right lead copy trader is a key decision in copy trading. A skilled lead trader usually possesses core strengths such as trading ability, experience, risk control, and asset stability. However, expecting perfection in all areas is unrealistic.
The most important thing is to determine your core needs and risk appetite: Do you prefer high-risk, high-return strategies or steady, long-term profitability?
For example, if you are a risk-averse user, then risk control and asset stability should be your top priorities, and your focus should be on indicators such as maximum drawdown and the volatility of the profit curve.
2. How to Interpret Copy Trading Metrics
Core Metrics for Evaluating Lead Copy Traders:
2.1 Profitability Metrics
Return Rate and Profit Curve
The return rate is a key indicator that reflects trading profitability. But does a high return over the past few days really prove the trader is good at trading? In fact, the profit curve often provides more valuable insights.
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Can you follow a trader with a high short-term return rate?
Short-term returns reflect a trader’s sprint potential and trading activity. For example, if a trader had long-term losses over the past 90 days but achieved a 300% return in the past 7 days, this indicates high recent activity and potential, but also suggests higher risk. Caution is advised.
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Does a high long-term return rate always mean the trader is reliable?
If a trader has a 90% return but only achieved it through 3 trades, this is not a strong enough data point for followers.
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Learning to read the profit curve is more meaningful than just looking at return rate
The profit curve shows profitability trends over time:
- If the curve is highly volatile, the trader may be more suitable for high-risk, high-reward followers.
- If the curve grows steadily and consistently, they may be ideal for users seeking long-term, stable returns.
- If the curve has been flat for a while, it suggests reduced trading activity, and there may not be much action in the near term.
2.2 Win Rate and Number of Closed Trades
Win rate refers to the percentage of profitable closed trades. A higher win rate usually indicates a higher likelihood of profitable trades.
But is a higher win rate always better?
Take this example: if a trader closed only one trade and it was profitable, the win rate is 100%. But that’s not enough to predict future profits.
So it’s important to look at win rate together with the number of trades. If a trader has closed over 100 trades and maintains a win rate above 50%, that implies followers have a better-than-even chance of making a profit.
3. Risk Control & Stability Metrics
3.1 Risk Indicators – Maximum Drawdown and Median Leverage
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Maximum Drawdown is the largest decline from peak to trough in a selected time period. Think of it like a rollercoaster drop—bigger drops mean a more thrilling (and risky) experience. The higher this number, the more risk tolerance is required from you.
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Is a smaller drawdown always better?
Not necessarily. If the trader is inactive, their returns and drawdown may be low, but it doesn’t mean they’re a good choice to follow right now—unless you’re okay with long periods of waiting.
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Is a smaller drawdown always better?
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Median Leverage can help reduce copy-trading risk
If you're looking for stable, long-term gains, look beyond drawdown and check the trader’s median leverage (available in the app). This shows the typical leverage used in their past trades. If it exceeds your risk tolerance, consider copying with small amounts and multiple orders to reduce high-leverage risks.
4. Risk Compatibility
If you're a conservative investor, we recommend focusing on:
- The trader's historical leverage usage, and
- Their median leverage (in-app metric)
Choose traders who consistently maintain low-leverage strategies—this can significantly reduce trading volatility and is more suitable for conservative users.
Final Note
Remember:
High short-term returns often come with unsustainability. Only through low-volatility, compounding growth can you achieve stable returns and long-term asset appreciation.
Platform Risk Disclaimer:
This guide is solely provided to help beginner copy traders and does not constitute any trading advice or recommendations.